Record-high vehicle prices have dominated the headlines in the last couple of years; however, the price listed on the window sticker isn’t the only one that demands attention right now. Not only do new and used cars cost more upfront thanks to the inventory shortage, but the cost to finance a vehicle is also trending up. Financing costs are often an afterthought in the car affordability equation, but a higher interest rate can mean paying thousands of dollars (or even tens of thousands) more over the course of the loan. As interest rates climb, how can shoppers determine if the rate they are offered is good — or at least fair?
Related: Calculate Your Car Loan
Many variables determine auto loan rates, some of which are out of shoppers’ control. For example, rates have climbed substantially following the Federal Reserve’s recent interest-rate hikes, adding to the affordability pinch: Experian’s latest automotive finance report estimates the average new-car loan rate reached 6.07% in the fourth quarter of 2022 — up from 3.88% in the fourth quarter of 2021. Other variables are directly influenced by individual circumstances:
“Interest rates can vary depending on multiple factors, including the size of the loan, the type of vehicle you’re buying, is the vehicle new or used, loan terms, and your credit history, among others,” wrote Melinda Zabritski, Experian’s senior director of automotive financial solutions, in an email to Cars.com. “Based on our [fourth quarter] 2022 data, the average interest rate for a new vehicle was 6.07%, while the average interest rate for a used vehicle was 10.26% — but again this can vary depending on the lender’s criteria.”
Understanding how financing costs vary based on these factors can help shoppers prepare for their vehicle purchase, get the best rate possible and sidestep some of the concerning trends covered below.
Car Loan Rates, Monthly Payments, Delinquencies Up
According to a Cars.com survey of prospective car buyers from January 2023, rising finance costs are making shoppers nervous: 64% of respondents reported worrying about increasing interest rates in 2023, and 60% say they will change their spending habits if the Fed raises interest rates again. This “approach with caution” mentality is supported by data showing monthly car payments, auto debt and delinquencies are all rising in lockstep with higher interest rates.
Experian’s data shows a notable increase in average monthly car payments: The average new-car payment climbed nearly 11% from $646 to $716 between the fourth quarter of 2021 and 2022. Meanwhile, the average used-car payment hit a record high of $526 in the fourth quarter of 2022, up from $490 in 2021.
Higher vehicle prices coupled with rising interest rates have contributed to record-high auto debt in the U.S. Total auto debt reached $1.55 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2022 — an increase of $94 billion from the prior year, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. At the same time, more borrowers are falling behind on their payments: 2.2% were 90 days or more delinquent on their debt in the fourth quarter of 2022, up from 1.6% the prior year.
Average Car Loan Rates by Credit Score
The two variables that heavily influence a shopper’s auto loan rate are their credit score and whether they are buying a new or used car. Experian defines five credit categories based on a range of credit scores: super prime (credit scores of 781-850), prime (661-780), near prime (601-660), subprime (501-600) and deep subprime (300-500). The average loan rate for new-car shoppers who fall into Experian’s top-tier super prime category was 4.75%, 8.12% for the near prime group and 13.42% for the deep subprime category.
Although the super prime category pays significantly less in interest on average, this group also saw the largest increase in interest rates from 2021 to 2022. The average auto loan rate jumped 2.26% for super prime borrowers, but less than 1% for deep subprime borrowers.
Used-vehicle shoppers should also expect to see higher rates across all credit categories. The average rate was 5.99% for super prime borrowers, 12.08% for near prime and 20.62% for deep subprime. Below are the average auto loan rates for new and used cars based on Experian’s credit score categories for the fourth quarter of 2022.
- Super prime: 4.75% (new); 5.99% (used)
- Prime: 5.82%; 7.83%
- Near prime: 8.12%; 12.08%
- Subprime: 10.79%; 17.46%
- Deep subprime: 13.42%; 20.62%